Hourly Air Quality Prediction in Dhaka (Bangladesh) using Time Series Forecasting Techniques: A Deep Learning Perspective

Authors

  • Mohd. Uswan Research Scholar, Dept. of Computer Engg., International University of Computer Engineering, Malaysia
  • Sanjana Kumari Professor, Dept. of Computer Engg., International University of Computer Engineering, Malaysia

Keywords:

Time Series, Feature Selection, Air Quality Index, Hourly, Forecasting, Deep Learning

Abstract

Air pollution is a concern worldwide, especially in densely populated cities in developing nations like Dhaka, Bangladesh. Accurately predicting air quality is crucial for health and environmental management. This research explores the effectiveness of learning models based on time series forecasting to predict air quality levels in Dhaka, with a particular focus on feature selection and the Air Quality Index (AQI). It also compares the performance and adaptability of models such as long-short-term memory (LSTM), convolutional neural network (CNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and gated recurrent unit (GRU) using various feature configurations. The study highlights that LSTM performs well in scenarios while CNN, RNN and GRU consistently exhibit strong predictive capabilities. Underscore their suitability for air quality forecasting particularly when considering the prediction of AQI. However, the study acknowledges the limitations of relying on data sources. Emphasizes the need for further research into hybrid models and how local factors impact air quality. The findings provide insights for practitioners and decision-makers aiming to tackle air pollution challenges in urban areas by emphasizing feature selection and AQIs role in enhancing predictive accuracy.

References

X. Xu, M. Yoneda, "Multitask Air-Quality Prediction Based on LSTM-Autoencoder Model," IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics, vol. 51, no. 5, pp. 2577-2586, 2021.

S. Sonawani, K. Patil, P. Chumchu, "NO2 Pollutant Concentration Forecasting for Air Quality Monitoring by Using an Optimized Deep Learning Bidirectional GRU Model," International Journal of Computational Science and Engineering, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 64-73, 2021.

F. Hamami, I. A. Dahlan, "Univariate Time Series Data Forecasting of Air Pollution using LSTM Neural Network," in International Conference on Advancement in Data Science, E-learning and Information Systems (ICADEIS), Lombok, Indonesia, pp. 1-5, 2020.

Y. S. Chang, H. T. Chiao, S. Abimannan, Y. P. Huang, Y. T. Tsai, and K. M. Lin, "An LSTM-based Aggregated Model for Air Pollution Forecasting," Atmospheric Pollution Research, vol. 11, no. 8, pp. 1451-1463, ISSN 1309-1042, 2020.

B. S. Freeman, G. Taylor, B. Gharabaghi, J. Thé, "Forecasting Air Quality Time Series Using Deep Learning," Atmospheric Environment, vol. 175, pp. 104-112, 2018.

R. Yan, J. Liao, J. Yang, W. Sun, M. Nong, F. Li, "Multi-hour and multi-site air quality index forecasting in Beijing using CNN, LSTM, CNN-LSTM, and spatiotemporal clustering," School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510275, China, 2021.

Y.-T. Tsai, Y.-R. Zeng, Y.-S. Chang, "Air Pollution Forecasting Using RNN with LSTM," Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, vol. 68, no. 6, pp. 558-573, 2018.

W. Zhang et al., "Exploring urban dynamics based on pervasive sensing: correlation analysis of traffic density and air quality," in 2012 Sixth International Conference on Innovative Mobile and Internet Services in Ubiquitous Computing, IEEE, 2012.

J. K. Sethi, M. Mittal, "An efficient correlation based adaptive LASSO regression method for air quality index prediction," Earth Science Informatics, vol. 14, no. 4, pp. 1777-1786, 2021.

A. Z. Ul-Saufie et al., "Improving air pollution prediction modelling using wrapper feature selection," Sustainability, vol. 14, no. 18, 2022.

D. Balram, K.-Y. Lian, N. Sebastian, "Air quality warning system based on a localized PM2. 5 soft sensor using a novel approach of Bayesian regularized neural network via forward feature selection," Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, vol. 182, 2019.

S. Ketu, "Spatial Air Quality Index and Air Pollutant Concentration prediction using Linear Regression based Recursive Feature Elimination with Random Forest Regression (RFERF): a case study in India," Natural Hazards, vol. 114, no. 2, 2022.

K. Siwek, S. Osowski, "Data mining methods for prediction of air pollution," International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, vol. 26, no. 2, pp. 347-359, 2016.

A. Gibiansky, "Convolutional Neural Networks," Andrew's Notes, Feb.2014. [Online]. Available: https://andrew.gibiansky.com/blog/machine-learning/convolutional-neural-networks/.[Accessed: 02-Oct-2023].

R. Hassan, M. Rahman, and A. Hamdan, "Assessment of air quality index (AQI) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia," IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, vol. 1026, no. 1, IOP Publishing, 2022.

H. A. Haque et al., "Ambient air quality scenario in and around Dhaka city of Bangladesh." Barishal University Journal, Part-1, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 203-18, 2017.

A. Aggarwal, D. Toshniwal, "A hybrid deep learning framework for urban air quality forecasting." Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 329, 2021, p. 129660.

N. Elmrabit et al., "Evaluation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Anomaly Detection." in 2020 International Conference on Cyber Security and Protection of Digital Services (Cyber Security), Dublin, Ireland, 2020, pp. 1-8.

Published

19-11-2023

How to Cite

Uswan, M., & Kumari, S. (2023). Hourly Air Quality Prediction in Dhaka (Bangladesh) using Time Series Forecasting Techniques: A Deep Learning Perspective. Journal of Applied Optics, 44, 44–54. Retrieved from https://appliedopticsjournal.net/index.php/JAO/article/view/60

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.